- First, I have argued that college costs need to be reined in, perhaps dramatically, since before the financial crisis and the attendant hit in employment rates for college grads. I wrote a piece here on that issue. The takeaway, for me, is threefold: first, stop the rampant expansion in administrative costs at universities, which are the primary driver of tuition increases, in large part by second reducing the vast array of services that colleges are offering that, whatever their merits, are tangential to the educational mission, which is itself a part of the third element, stopping the manic physical expansion and focus on facilities, beautification, and high-cost/high-maintenance construction.
- You can certainly find far, far more educated and nuanced discussion of Keynesian economics elsewhere, but I do believe in the general Keynesian countercyclical economic model as endorsed by Paul Krugman et al, and I think properly executed fiscal and monetary stimulus could do a world of good for our job market. (Unlike Krugman et al, I don't think the failure by policy elites to enact that kind of stimulus is a product of short-term political forces but rather is due to an endemic capture of the policy apparatus by our financial and banking system.)
- Personally, broad student loan forgiveness strikes me as a sound policy both ethically and from a stimulus standpoint. You wouldn't have to make it complete, but could agree to waive some percentage or some fixed value off of anyone's load debt. I understand the sense in which this seems to punish those who paid off their loans, and I also know that the deficit hawks would howl. But this is indeed a great burden on our young adults, and I don't see a moral hazard problem per se when it comes to student loans.
Incidentally, Wolfers's piece utilizes my least favorite bit of political illogic, the part where he say
Do this once, and what will happen in the next recession? More lobbying for free money, rather than doing something socially constructive. Moreover, if these guys succeed, others will try, too. And we’ll just get more spending in the least socially productive part of our economy—the lobbying industry.Except, well, no. This kind of argument gets bandied about all the time, and it happens because when the future actually arrives, nobody remembers this hogwash and bothers to refute it. Look at it this way. We were in recession. Obama got a stimulus passed. We may have slid back into recession already or may be about to. Does that mean we're going to get more stimulus? Anybody who is politically engaged would say no. That's because things change. The political situation changes, conditions on the ground change. "If we do this now we are required to do it again," or "we did it then so we must do it again now" are arguments nobody makes, thanks to their complete emptiness, so using the prediction of those arguments to preempt potential policy is equally empty.
Finally, Wolfers is disingenuous when he says
Notice the political rhetoric? Give free money to us, rather than “corporations, millionaires and billionaires.” Opportunity cost is one of the key principles of economics. And that principle says to compare your choice with the next best alternative. Instead, they’re comparing it with the worst alternative. So my question for the proponents: Why give money to college grads rather than the 15% of the population in poverty?This would be more convincing, and much closer to that cutting tone Wolfers is so transparently trying (and failing) to achieve, were the "worst possible alternative" not, in fact, the status quo. Wolfers is speaking here as if government supporting the richest and corporations over more progressive alternatives is some lame straw man. It is in fact standard operating procedure, as he is well aware.
12 comments:
Curious if you've read the Freakonomics piece against forgiving student loan debt? Tone of the article is irritating, but the argument seemed coherent to me. I'd be interested to hear your thoughts on it: http://www.freakonomics.com/2011/09/19/forgive-student-loans-worst-idea-ever/
...the rampant expansion in administrative costs at universities, which are the primary driver of tuition increases...
Is this true? For public universities, there's also the reduction in state funding.
True. I should have spoken with more care-- administrative costs are the largest factor in rising costs for universities, which in turn drive tuition increases.
Student loans are a scam whereby neo-liberals gave private banks a "rent" off of what is a legitimate state investment. The US govt could and should write off say 30% to 50% of all student debt issued say in the last twenty years. To do this they should simply write checks for that 30% to 50% value to anyone who had student debt in that time frame. This way those who paid back are not punished while those who can not are helped. At the same time the cash to those already paid up becomes stimulus spending, savings or investment at their discretion. And it would be a tiny fraction of the trillions shoveled pointlessly to the banks.
The solution is much simpler. Make as much public money available for education debt at 0% real interest, but require the educational institutions to ask as guarantor of the student loans. Who are the ones hawking the dream and who benefits from the wasteful credentialing-racket by selling the product at an inflated price? Institutional financial liability for failure will generate the responsible reforms you desire.
I know you may not like to hear this, Freddie; but a big part of the reason that OWS is taking hold (and, to lesser extent, the Tea Party before it, though the latter is intermingled with numerous reactionary elements that have little to do with people's economic plight), is that the middle class--or people who think they ought to be middle class--are being affected.
If it were just the poor and marginalized who were hurting, few would care as much. After all, the suffering of the poor and marginalized is more or less constant, even in good times, and nobody cares.
But political swings to the left only occur when the middle class identifies with the poor and not with the wealthy. Right now, that is starting to be the case, as the transparent greed of the GOP is becoming clearer and clearer. Right now, many people see no path to BECOME wealthy (or at least upper-middle-class), and are starting to identify with them less and less.
And crushing student loan debt, coupled with poor employment opportunities even for those with degrees, is just one facet of this.
I think this criticism would have more weight if it were not very apparent that some students had been mislead into believing that their employment prospects were much better on graduation than they actually were.
Law students especially can rightly complain that the 160,000 USD starting salaries which many go into large quantities of debt (200,000 USD plus) are in fact only received by a very small percentage of students (perhaps fewer than 10 out of a class of 250). Of the remainder, perhaps fewer than 50% find work in the legal profession, and those that do work in the legal profession work in jobs making less than 40,000 USD whilst still having to make substantial monthly interest payments. The remaining ~50% not only have the problem of being massively in debt with little in the way of money for repayment, but also have the stigma of trying to find a job with qualifications that are useless for anything outside the law.
However, law schools persist in advertising their graduates as receiving 100K+ salaries because they only gather statistics from those that make large salaries. Some of this is due to the reporting of salaries being voluntary, but the suspicion must be that the law schools themselves are selective in who they gather their statistics from. There is also the phenomenon, wide-spread in American law schools, of law schools cynically hiring their ex-students during the survey period and then releasing them afterwards, thus ensuring high employment figures.
Anyone who has come through such a mill has good reason to feel aggrieved.
In Canada students can apply for bankrupcy 7 years after leaving school.
Bring back bankrupcy protection for student loans in the USA.
And lower the interest rate. It's ridiculous that it is higher then 30 year house mortgages.
Don't forgive student loans, but change the rules so they can be discharged through bankruptcy.
Freddy,
If you are interested this is a really good look at what a progressive government could do with the tools at its disposal right now to create the jobs that would allow the general deleverging required. It would benefit student loan debtors as well as unemployable old farts like myself and do it without the disruptions of writedowns in bankruptcy:
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=16449
You've probably seen this, but if you haven't you may find it interesting:
http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2011/10/david-graeber-on-playing-by-the-rules-–-the-strange-success-of-occupy-wall-street.html
I have read this post. This post is a nice one that similar to loans in chennai , personal loans in chennai , home loans in chennai . That I will inform about your post to my friends and all the best for your future post..
Post a Comment